I really didn’t want to spend much time on this blog talking about current affairs.
But it’s becoming inescapable. And one topic that requires mention is an ongoing story that only fitfully pops up on the radar screen, but which is a BIG ongoing deal. And the Big Deal is the answer to this question:
Will we go to war with Iran??
Today the answer to the question is: NO.
Tomorrow, however, is another day. And the effort to push the US into a war with Iran goes on day after day.
On the other (”antiwar”) side: Obama and Defense Secretary Robert Gates, and most serious military strategists.
Secretary Gates is not necessarily tops of my nice guy list, seeing as how he’s running two nasty wars and planning many more.
BUT credit where it is due: He’s being a good point man for the administration’s apparently determined effort to PREVENT a war with Iran.
This report just out from Reuters quotes him saying the right things:
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu ratcheted up [pro- Iran war] rhetoric last week by calling on the West to convince Iran that it would be willing to take military action to prevent Tehran from producing nuclear weapons. He said economic sanctions had so far failed to do the job.
Gates has publicly disagreed with Netanyahu about the need to put forward a military threat.
Although he acknowledged on Tuesday that Iranian leaders “are still intent on acquiring nuclear weapons,” he said military action was not a long-term answer.
“A military solution, as far as I’m concerned … it will bring together a divided nation. It will make them absolutely committed to obtaining nuclear weapons. And they will just go deeper and more covert,” Gates said.
“The only long-term solution in avoiding an Iranian nuclear weapons capability is for the Iranians to decide it’s not in their interest. Everything else is a short-term solution.”
Iran: twice as big as Iraq, square the trouble.
I don’t know how this tug-of-war will turn out. But it will continue as long as Obama is in office, that seems clear. After all, the best strategic experts outside the Pro-Iran war circle (including the Joint Chiefs of Staff) seem to agree that a war would be disastrous for all concerned, including the US. But the war lobby is not going away.
Another Iran Peacenik: Joint Chiefs Chairman Admiral Mike Mullen
Most of this struggle will go on behind the scenes. But if you wake up one morning to find gasoline is about $15 a gallon, you’ll know what happened.
And that may be the up-side. When the army drafts the kid next door, we’ll really start to feel the costs. Then it’s all downhill from there.